- cross-posted to:
- usa@lemmy.ml
- cross-posted to:
- usa@lemmy.ml
While election almost certain to be decided by swing states, pollsters explain why growth in national polls is meaningful
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It only matters in the swing states. The ones where they’re trying to purge the voter registrations, sometimes successfully. The system is broken.
The Republican campaign strategy: “cheat to win, win to cheat.”
Down ballot matters everywhere.
Only if people are allowed to vote when they show up
It still matters… that’s the problem.
Oh, I thought this thread was about a poll between Harris and Trump
That’s correct. The polls are still very close where it counts.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/28/us/politics/harris-trump-poll-michigan-wisconsin.html
“There’s growing evidence to support a surprising possibility: [Trump’s] once formidable advantage in the electoral college is not as ironclad as many presumed. Instead, it might be shrinking,” Cohn argued.
I’m in a red state. I’m in a neighborhood with a lot of of retired Republicans. I don’t see a single Trump sign, but there is a growing count of Harris signs, including “Republicans for Harris.” ymmv
Even in the strongest hold out states, they can be flipped if enough people vote. It can also set up for a flip next election. Vote anyway.
Vote anyway. Be part of a sweep.
Vote for every office, not just the president
In TX, Theodore “I left my dog snowflake at home while the state was freezing and without power for a family trip to Cancun then blamed my wife and children for the trip” Cruz is currently up for defeat.
He only just barely won against Beto O’rourke last time. Colin Allred is closing in and needs all the help he can get.
I would love nothing more than to see that snake pick his bags and fuck the fuck off.
I mean, personally, I’d rather he get hit by a bus but survive the initial hit, and then dragged for a ways before dying. But I also really dislike him.
Maybe I’m biased but it didn’t work against Abbott. He might not be kicking but he’s still in charge.
Him, Abbott, Paxton, Patrick, Cornyn…
His name is not Theodore. It’s Rafael.
Rafael Cruz? The Canadian immigrant that hates immigrants?
I think she’ll be busy enough with one job
Make it Trump’s most embarrassing loss to date!
Followed by a jail sentence!
A sweep will also make it harder for the inevitable attempt of republicans to invalidate the election.
end this silver spoon narcissist retiree’s bullshit. Please vote
For fucks sake this should not be tight or close. It should be a gods damned CURB STOMP that destroys the Republican party for the rest of history DAMMIT.
Ozzy Osbourne would be a safer choice than this guy
Oh yeah? But would Ozzy Osbourne put Trump’s family members in positions of power, funnel as much booty - I mean national wealth as imaginable into Trump’s personal pockets and benefit Trump’s corrupt cronies? Sorry, I mean make America great again?
Don’t trust polls. Vote.
Doesn’t matter. Go vote. Complacency gave the orange toddler his first term. Just sayin.
Don’t fucking listen to the polls. GO VOTE!
We need to win by a lot more than razor thin margins, republicans are going to try and steal this one.
And you want to win by a huge margin so they can actually implement good policies, and not have to barter with Republicans and the likes of Manchin.
Are you suggesting that we STOP THE STEAL?
Yes
Let’s make sure it matters
Find how to register to vote for where you are
Find opportunities to volunteer for dems around you and online
GO VOTE
Shutup and vote.
Yesterday, I saw a few of donnie’s loyalists standing out on a corner at a place with steady traffic, trying to get cars and pedestrians to honk/give them a thumb’s up. In the hot sun. No idea if they were paid or not. They were way up in years and probably could be doing almost anything else but that. But these people love dimbulb donnie, no matter how much of a disaster he’ll be. The worse off it is for the country, they’ll cheer it on, as long as they believe donnie is going to hurt the right people.
Just made me look forward to filling out my ballot all the more. But definitely, everyone: go vote. Don’t believe the polls.
As a non-american this scares me.
What the fuck does Trump have to offer to the average citizen? He is basing his campaign on
- tax cuts for the extra rich
- iMmIgRaNtS (who Harris wants to stop anyways)
- licking the ass of Putin and Nethanyau
Unfortunately, politics is teams sports in this country. Too many people are concerned with their side winning rather than what is best for the country or even for themselves. The propaganda machine has pushed people to support a small subset of issues as the biggest issues and these are often not the issues that actually have any impact on the day-to-day lives of most Americans. Critical thinking is not part of the discourse anymore for a large percentage, just rhetoric and slogans.
You’re not mentioning racism and sexism, which is at least as important as what you’re describing.
As an American, this scares me.
I try to share this site when national pole articles come out, because these are the only numbers that matter in our election. It doesn’t matter how blue California is if they rat-fuck the elections in the swing states.
Trumps pov is easy to understand, and so he’s easy to buy. You only need to stroke Trumps ego and speak his language and he’s on your side. That’s why Republican politicians think they can control him, except he’s too neurotic and unstable, likely because of narcissism made worse by dementia.
No one really votes for Republicans, that’s why they have to gerrymander and keep the electoral college alive. There’s like maybe 35%-37% of the American pop. which really supports their pov. The swing states are only ever an issue because of voter disenfranchisement, not because people actually swing. Very few people actually swing vote.
The electoral college favors Republicans but the narrative that “no one really votes for Republicans” is fucking bullshit
Yes, they tend to lose the popular vote but even then % wise, it’s way closer than it should be.
The way you phrase it, makes it seem like they are a fringe group that through cheating manages to win even if they only have half as many votes as the Democrats.
They are popular even with, or perhaps actually because of, all of the racism, sexism and fascist tendencies. Do not downplay that.
Last time Republicans won the popular vote was because of 9/11, so 2004, but they always lost otherwise since 1988. The racism and sexism are open wounds from the civil rights movement in the 60s and the women libs movement in the 70s. Most of the red voting states are super low population, so there’s no love for republicans other than their gerrymandering and electoral college fixing.
I am pretty sure Trump is winning it in 2024 because of the way some of the swing states are removing access to voting. It’s such a fucking fraud
That doesn’t change anything I said. A significant portion of your population votes for them. Almost half of the voting population votes for them. You can’t ignore these facts.
How is 37% half?
In 2020 Trump got 47% of the votes. Biden 51%. That’s the almost half that I’m talking about
He is similar to popular non-Americans like Berlusconi, Meloni, Le Pen, and Kickl. Americans aren’t unique in that regard.
So they believe that Democrats automatically means higher taxes for them, regardless of income level.
Should you manage to get them to consider the taxation would only target the wealthy, they are afraid the wealthy class will fire them due to the loss of money. Similarly afraid that stronger worker protections would just lead to the jobs going away. They think the benefits achieved by Democrats favor cities and rural areas don’t see their moneys worth. Now they didn’t spend that much money on taxes and they do get great benefit, but they see the cities get bigger stuff and that leaves an impression.
Speaking of jobs going away, they fear immigrants. Both on racist grounds and the general perceived increase in labor competition.
Fewer arms to Ukraine because they see it as wasting money on a cause that has nothing to do with them. More arms to Israel because they are afraid of Muslims.
Particularly dangerous as key people recognize this is a lot of people, but not the majority. So there’s a great fear that democratic voting means they would ultimately be marginalized. So they also are the party most inclined to game the vote however they can, mapping districts, limiting voting access, stalling absentee ballots.
AND HERE THEY COME INTO THE BACK CORNER IT’S TRUMP IN THE LEAD WITH HARRIS SURGING UP THE INSIDE!!
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The Guardian - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)
Information for The Guardian:
MBFC: Left-Center - Credibility: Medium - Factual Reporting: Mixed - United Kingdom
Wikipedia about this sourceSearch topics on Ground.News
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/sep/28/harris-stretches-lead-over-trump