There are some numbers in this blog post https://www.wheresyoured.at/openai-is-a-systemic-risk-to-the-tech-industry-2/ (and a couple of others on the same blog) and they really don’t look like OpenAI is going to last a couple of years until profitability.
“Talking chimps destroy own planet, and themselves”
More like “All chimps listens to the most charismatic chimps even though they are narcissistic idiots and that leads to their destruction”
As a standalone thing, LLMs are awesome.
They really aren’t though and that is half the problem. Everyone pretends they are awesome when the results are unusable garbage 80% of the time which makes them unusable for 99% of practical applications.
The difference between AI companies and most other tech companies is that AI companies have significant expenses that scale with the number of customers.
You think someone just got confused between the ugly guy, the tower and the top position and that is how we ended up in this mess?
It is really not a big change to the way we work unless you work in a language that has very low expressiveness like Java or Go and we have been able to generate the boilerplate in those automatically for decades.
The main problem is that it is really not at all useful or produces genuinely beneficial results and yet everyone keeps telling us they do but can not point to a single GitHub PR or similar source as an example for a good piece of code created by AI without heavy manual post-processing. It also completely ignores that reading and fixing other people’s (or worse, AI’s) code is orders of magnitude harder than writing the same code yourself.
Probably not going to go belly-up, in a while
Don’t be so sure about that, the numbers look incredibly bad for them in terms of money burned per actual revenue, never mind profit. They can’t even pay for the inference alone (never mind training, staff, rent,…) from the subscriptions.
Also would help in general to cite English language sources in a discussion that happens in English.
There is a 100% effective solution to ending wars on planet Earth, most people are just opposed to the end of the human species for some reason.
In fact Daggerfall was almost nothing but quests and other content like that.
So they stole all the cookies a single news website set in the browser of one user?
“lawmakers” seem like an inappropriate term for the kind of enemies of the general population who usually demand these kinds of measures.
One of the earliest times Musk appeared in the general public awareness was his Hyperloop crap and that was already designed to sabotage rail in favor of cars so he has always been like this, some people just didn’t want to notice back then.
That last one is why, have you ever tried getting a bank account in the name of a script?
Don’t forget that they are literally being lead by a political movement named after the history denying idea that they were “great” at some point and want to get back to that (never mind the other lie that the leaders of the movement don’t actually want to get back to any particular point in history despite the name)
And, here is the important part, those rich people need that money so their high score wealth is bigger than that other rich person’s high score like wealth, not for mundane reasons like improving their quality of life or anything.
Are you somehow under the impression that just because it is “global” there are no transmitters and receivers and distance does not matter?
Counterpoint, if you don’t create a new device at least once every 2 years there will be people who disregard your latest device in their purchase decision because it is so old.
“Never forget” is great and all but from a German perspective it seems to not be enough. It is much more important to make sure the same or very similar things do not happen again, not by China and not by any other nation. Otherwise you end up like we did here in Germany where decades of “never forget” lead to very similar sentiments being expressed by a new major party but since things are slightly different (e.g. the “never forget” was always phrased to be about Jews, this is more about foreigners in general) people seem to allow themselves to ignore them.
Name a single task you would trust an LLM on solving for you that you feel confident would be correct without checking the output. Because that is my definition of perfectly and AI falls very, very far short of that.